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Home values, with the uncertainty included

A model that shows not just a figure, but how certain that estimate is. In development.

Approach

Using open data from BAG, WOZ, CBS and Kadaster, it predicts home values and municipal price trends, with a 90% interval per estimate through conformal prediction. A model is approved only after evaluation over a complete test period; that check caught an earlier, unjustified approval.

Result

Runs on one server for about €25 a month.

Technology

PythonLightGBMConformal predictionOpen data
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