Home values, with the uncertainty included
A model that shows not just a figure, but how certain that estimate is. In development.
Approach
Using open data from BAG, WOZ, CBS and Kadaster, it predicts home values and municipal price trends, with a 90% interval per estimate through conformal prediction. A model is approved only after evaluation over a complete test period; that check caught an earlier, unjustified approval.
Result
Runs on one server for about €25 a month.
Technology
PythonLightGBMConformal predictionOpen data
Let's connect
mannes@mokkenstorm.com